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NORMETRICS

Model based analysis

  • “Alle veit jo det” Makroøkonomisk mytespinn om inflasjon og Phillipskurven.
  • “Everybody knows”: Phillips curve myth or reality
  • A plague of interest rate setters
  • CO2 forecasts
  • CO2 i atmosfæren, prognoser for Mauna Loa
  • Dynamic Econometrics For Empirical Macroeconomic Modelling
  • Iboende inflasjon
  • Macroeconometric textbook published
  • Model based economic analysis
  • New research articles on the modelling of pattern wage bagaining
  • Normetrics news and posts
  • Norway drops its nominal anchor to the 2 percent layer
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  • Rapporter/Reports
    • Rapport 1/2017 fra Normetrics
    • Rapport 1/2019 fra Normetrics
    • Rapport 2/2017 fra Normetrics
    • Rapport 2/2018 fra Normetrics
    • Rapport 2/2019 fra Normetrics
    • Rapport 1/2018 fra Normetrics
  • The day inflation targeting died
  • Transmisjon av importert inflasjon
  • Unknown unknowns in the German-Nordic  electricity price difference
  • Valutakursens gang gjennom lønnsdannelsen
  • Wage (under)regulation in the US
  • NAM – Norwegian Aggregate Model
    • Arrival of a well announced upturn?
    • NAM and Robustness in Macroeconomic Forecasting
    • NAM-Norwegian Aggregate Model
      • Boligpris- og renteusikkerhet
      • Finanstilsynet benytter NAM i ny stresstest av norsk økonomi
      • Godt varslet oppgang på gang?
      • Lavere arbeidsledighet framover
    • Housing price and interest rate uncertainty
    • Norway’s unemployment rate on the ebb again
Research article

U.S.Wage-Price Dynamics, Before, During and After COVID-19, Through the Lens of an Empirical Econometric Model

Normetrics / 6. november 2025

We specify a multiple-equation model with equilibrium-correction terms, which connect inflation to the wage share and the functional income distribution, […]

Research article

Dynamic time series modelling and forecasting of COVID-19 in Norway

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

A framework for forecasting new COVID-19 cases jointly with hospital admissions and hospital beds with COVID-19 cases is presented. This

Research article

Wage inequality and union membership

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

In a new article in Oxford Economic Papers, by Elin Svartstad and Ragnar Nymoen, the empirical relationship between the within-establishment

Research article

Economic Covid-19 effects analysed by macro econometric models—the case of Norway

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

Counterfactual analysis of the impact of Covid-19 can be based on a solution of a macroeconomic model for a scenario

Research article

On the Low Degree of Entropy Implied by the Solutions of Modern Macroeconomic Models

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

The non-causal (“forward-looking”) solution used routinely in academic macroeconomics may represent a violation of a law of entropy, namely that

Kommentar i Samfunnsøkonomen

Sudden changes in economic activity, with and without lock-down

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

This comment, in the Norwegian journal Samfunnsøkonomen, discusses how a particular form of imbalance in capital markets (related to overdermination

Research article

New research articles on the modelling of pattern wage bagaining

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

Wage coordination plays an important role in macroeconomic stabilization. Pattern wage bargaining systems have been common in Europe, but in

Aktuell analyse, Kommentar i Samfunnsøkonomen

Dynamisk modellering og framskrivning av nye smittede og innlagte med COVID-19 i Norge

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

I denne analysen presenteres det modellbaserte prognoser for daglige antall nye smittede ogfor antallet personer som er innlagte på sykehus

Innlegg i Dagens Næringsliv

Anslagene for smitteutviklingen kan bli sikrere med økonomenes metoder

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

I et innlegg i Dagens Næringsliv i 18. februar 2022 påpekte Ragnar Nymoen og Victoria Sparrman at FHIs prognoser er

Kommentar i Samfunnsøkonomen

Lønnsforhandlingsmodellen

Normetrics / 15. oktober 2025

Den norske lønnsforhandlingsmodellen utgjør et system der industrien forhandler først tilpassetlønnsevnen. Utfallet av forhandlingene danner en lønnsnorm som er førende

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